Instead of recognizing the failure of its expansionist policy, Armenia continues to claim that Azerbaijani lands are “ancestral Armenian lands” and that Azerbaijan “illegally” liberated its lands.
According to Yerevan’s new political rhetoric, practically everyone is to blame for the complete failure of Armenian policy, except Armenia itself, who, by its own admission, threatened all its neighbors while relying on Russia, but Moscow, you see, betrayed it.
In fact, Armenia is a historically artificial state created by agreement between Persia and Russia to contain Türkiye. It would have continued to harm its neighbors for many more years if not for the strengthening of the military and political power of the Turkic countries.
Armenian politics for many years was based on the creation of a peculiar political “love triangle” that included three main elements: Russia (Armenia’s main trade and political partner and co-founder), Iran (the historical homeland, the second co-founder and an exit to the Islamic world) and, of course, Washington (the world leader, whose friendship with Armenia has made Armenia strong in the eyes of its neighbors). However, the growing disagreements between the sides of this “love triangle” led to the collapse of the matrix of Armenian political power, and the inadequacy of Armenian statehood came to the surface in full clarity.
The bigger the lie, the easier people will swallow it
Now that it has become obvious that Armenia never existed as a separate and independent state, Armenian fascists are resorting to the favorite policy of Hitler, the founder of fascist ideology, with regard to what has been happening in our region over the past few years: the bigger the lie, the easier people will swallow it.
Armenians have yet again started talking about “ethnic cleansing”, “genocide” and other fictitious processes in order to invoke pity and derive some political benefit from it. One must admit that so far Armenians have been able to deceive the international community. Imagine that there are many people who believe that Armenians were the first people to adopt Christianity, although anyone with a little knowledge of history knows that the first Christian state was Ethiopia. Armenians have managed to convince many people that the suffixes at the end of Armenian last names are unique, although linguists know that the suffix “yan” (a derivative of “ian”) is nothing but the Latin suffix that means belonging or origin. For example, Russian or Georgian. So, if your last name is Pashinyan, it means that you belong to Pasha.
To be America’s friend is fatal… (Henry Kissinger)
Having declared Russia the main culprit of its failure, Armenia decided to completely reorient itself towards the United States, and fell into the same trap. As the American politician Henry Kissinger once said: “It may be dangerous to be America’s enemy, but to be America’s friend is fatal.” This saying can be safely applied to the relations of any small states with any large ones. After all, Armenia has been friends with Russia for many years, but today it rejects all things Russian. That is, the lesson has not been learned.
Armenia is convulsing in the throes of death, because it has only two options to preserve its statehood: to become the 51st state of America, or to join the Russian Federation as a separate subject.
Armenia will no longer be able to live independently. Neither the United States nor Iran will help it. It has chosen too dramatically contrasting friends for itself for that. Armenians do not realize that they have no direct trade links with anyone but Iran, which itself is under pressure from American sanctions. Armenia will never be able to become a member of the EU, again, for the same reason Georgia will never be able to join the EU: no direct territorial ties and too different socio-cultural and historical traditions. All reasonable people understand perfectly well that the latest EU proposal to make Georgia a member of the organization is just a bluff to spite Russia. Georgia, which in recent years has refused to fulfill any of the EU’s demands (Saakashvili’s release, support for sanctions against Russia, support for the LGBT community), does not meet even the minimum requirements for EU membership. But unlike Armenians, Georgians understand this perfectly well, they just play along with the political players of the West, while firmly sticking to their own line in politics. Georgia will never forget the experience of friendship with the United States, which almost led to the annihilation of Sakartvelo….
Georgia will not be able to join the EU because its main trade turnover is with Russia and Azerbaijan, and this will come to an end when it joins the EU. And again, we should not forget that Georgia has no land borders with the EU, while maritime borders run through Russian-controlled territories via Crimea. The reality is that both Armenia and Georgia are fully reliant on Russia.
Either I take her to the registry office or she takes me to the prosecutor…
But apparently the Armenians have gone crazy, since they have decided to take Russia to the prosecutor like in the famous comedy movie Kidnapping, Caucasian Style. This is exactly what Armenia joining the ICC looks like. After all, they cannot have a “wedding” with Iran, otherwise they have to convert to Islam. While Iran would not mind expanding its territories by annexing Armenia, it is unlikely that Russia, which has long had its eye on Armenia and will not give it away so easily, will allow it. Russia is likely to take active steps in Armenia very soon. The only thing holding Russia back is the lack of common borders with Armenia, which the latter is trying to take advantage of. But Russia still has a powerful military and political presence in Armenia. Therefore, it is likely that after the next Russian elections scheduled for next year, Russia will initiate a military coup in Armenia and bring new pro-Russian politicians to power. It is even possible that Russia will do this ahead of the next elections in Armenia, at the end of 2024. Which of the two options Russia chooses will depend on the outcome of the US election.
Biden is on his last legs, but everyone is tired of Trump, too
Unfortunately, many processes in the world will depend on the results of the US election. Obviously, after the failed policy of the Soros White House Administration, the electorate is unlikely to support Biden’s candidacy in the elections. It is all too clear that Biden is being controlled by Soros’ protégé Blinken. But the latter, it seems, is no longer able to handle it, and does not even hide his emotions at the blunders of his official boss. However, the alternative to Biden is even worse, at least from the point of view of the image created by the same Soros media for Biden’s main rival, Trump. Soros has done his utmost to create an image of Trump that the electorate would be sick of: conflicts, tainted connections, scandals, etc.
The Biden-Harris will most likely be handed the victory in the US election again, followed by a transition of power to Harris. It is already obvious that the US policy is determined by Soros through his protégé Blinken, and Kamala will at least listen more closely to Blinken’s recommendations. Moreover, Harris will secure the support of the Asian electorate of the United States, given the strengthening of the Asian vector in the policy of the West after a series of failures on the European track. Presumably, after the US election, Putin, convinced that a weak team is in power in America, will start organizing a change of power in Armenia.
If only wishing made it so
Russia’s complete control over Armenia certainly suits Iran, as Yerevan’s further alignment with America does not bode well for the Islamic Republic. Of course, Iran is constantly trying to look like a global player, but in reality, due to its narrow political orientation, it cannot offer any political flexibility and is in a perennially defensive position: Iran never acts, but only reacts. This perpetual wait-and-see approach gives all other parties to regional processes an opportunity to test Iran’s reaction to certain potential solutions before they act.
Iran will clearly never interfere directly in any regional conflict that does not involve Iranian territory. Therefore, all Iranian statements about the inalterability of borders in the region are nothing but a reference to its own borders.
Territorial connection with Nakhchivan is a necessity
Armenia will never be a rational neighbor for Azerbaijan. Armenia is an aggressive and artificial state created for one purpose only—to be a perpetual source of problems for the countries of the region and to constantly pave the way for the intervention of larger states. Armenia has never had and will never have an independent policy and therefore peaceful coexistence with Armenia is impossible in principle.
Any development in Armenia, be it joining NATO and the EU, or becoming part of the Russian Federation, will pose a threat to Azerbaijan. The only solution that can finally close all regional issues is the return of Zangezur to Azerbaijan. Then Armenia will no longer be able to play the Iranian card, Armenia will give up all claims against its neighbors, and the US and EU will “leave” Armenia. Armenia will return under Russia’s control. And peace will finally reign in the region.
Zangezur can also be recovered through non-military means. For example, through acquisition. There are historical precedents: the acquisition of Alaska by the Americans, for example. Or everyone remembers how Trump offered Denmark to buy Greenland. That is, Azerbaijan can accept Zangezur from Armenia as compensation for 30 years of occupation of our lands.
If Armenia refuses, we can buy a territorial corridor to Türkiye and then to Nakhchivan, through Georgia. This way we will still cut off both Iran and Armenia at the same time. By the way, Russia is likely to support this scenario.
The US prepares to recoup ground in the Caucasus
The recent hearings in the US Senate have finally revealed the US plans for our region. The masks are off and America’s anti-Azerbaijani policy is gaining momentum. It is easy to understand what exactly the US is preparing for and how it is going to punish Azerbaijan. The signs of the United States’ hybrid war against Azerbaijan are already quite obvious.
On the one hand, Armenia is being speedily provided with weapons and military instructors. Armenia is being prepared for combat operations. And since this primarily requires militants, it is understandable that the extremely well-organized withdrawal of Armenians from Karabakh was designed precisely for this purpose: to have sufficient human resources for military actions.
On the other hand, the US has launched measures against Azerbaijan. Its henchmen in Europe have initiated a number of measures against our country, and the visit of German Annalena Berbock once again confirmed the intentions of the collective West.
And, of course, the US is increasing its efforts to destabilize the situation inside Azerbaijan through its grant programs. As always, USAID is the main instrument of internal pressure on Azerbaijan. Interestingly, one of those who made accusations against Azerbaijan at the Senate hearings was Alex Sokolowski, who has repeatedly visited Azerbaijan and willingly accepted gifts. He is the first person on the left in the photo.
Apparently, his “love” for Azerbaijan suddenly turned into hatred in order to please his new crazy boss, the Azerbaijanophobe Samantha Power, who pathologically hates our country and our people. The US activity inside Azerbaijan has noticeably intensified. Various grant programs are growing. As always, our journalists are in the center of attention of the American authorities, who allot serious resources through the very same USAID to work and manipulate them.
USAID’s “activity” in this area became apparent once after the adoption of the anti-Azerbaijani resolution in the US Senate some journalists started for some reason to call it a maneuver. Obviously, the order came from Washington. But the situation is not hopeless. To avoid aggravation of destabilizing activities, USAID should immediately leave Azerbaijan, and the programs run by the US Embassy in Azerbaijan should also be discontinued. The people of Azerbaijan fully support their President and his policies, and no handouts from the enemies will lead them off this path.
Translated from Minval.az
